TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,093,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,054,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,093,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes14c237,273$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c202,140$29,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,124.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes13c134,654$17,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,504.9956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c116,154$15,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,572.212,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes13c89,921$11,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,689.7178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c58,427$7,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,595.511,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes13c50,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.977839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes17c46,874$7,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,906.9929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes13c41,922$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.6438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes13c21,564$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No76c20,256$15,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.1224146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes14c20,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes13c19,423$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52517733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b6…7456backed Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes24c14,483$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes13c14,126$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.5635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c13,869$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes14c13,437$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.9975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes22c11,572$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes20c9,686$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.0335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes14c9,346$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.449218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes23c8,151$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.38023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes14c7,003$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes13c7,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes13c6,492$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes14c5,884$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.6638329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes18c5,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes13c5,385$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No79c4,444$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes18c4,411$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.361,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes20c4,230$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.391,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes24c4,169$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…be32backed Yes13c4,026$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.42119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd581…83b7backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0105…ad53backed Yes13c3,691$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes25c3,639$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b076backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes19c3,423$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes13c3,357$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9838817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes13c3,191$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.811914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c3,087$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.941,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes17c3,049$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.812341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc67…f528backed Yes14c2,961$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.573119.4%6 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c2,865$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes19c2,697$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.821,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes13c2,617$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yes14c2,566$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.245550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes20c2,492$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4817533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes18c2,387$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.241,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…fe61backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Yes13c2,336$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No74c2,320$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.087331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes23c2,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes18c2,207$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635c…905ebacked Yes13c2,164$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.31030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No80c2,159$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No78c2,135$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.5618765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes16c2,057$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5422931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes13c1,933$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes12c1,929$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes22c1,828$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.233928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Yes13c1,820$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.69241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes13c1,806$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.778133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes13c1,790$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.76621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004436.4%16 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes18c1,634$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.31329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes15c1,596$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed No79c1,593$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes17c1,540$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5519737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbada…ef94backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200358.6%3 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes17c1,471$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes13c1,460$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.84826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes13c1,460$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8410037%37 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes13c1,460$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.84378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes20c1,438$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1525643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes13c1,429$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes15c1,422$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.94588.6%5 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes12c1,395$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.998711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes20c1,321$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.