Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee73598fe623e4ef90bcbad595ac90c365854cb8ea234a8b8d6f4fed74bfb660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 73,454$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Yes | 4c | 62,550$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.85 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 3c | 60,665$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.09 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 4c | 28,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.53 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 19,737$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.91 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,701$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes | 4c | 13,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes | 5c | 12,230$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 4c | 9,206$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 9,034$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 4c | 8,728$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.22 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,694$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.85 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 6,789$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…f4d2backed Yes | 0c | 6,455$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 5,716$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 4c | 5,612$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,285$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,162$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 5c | 4,713$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,651$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed Yes | 2c | 3,888$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 5c | 3,869$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 4c | 3,520$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,488$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…9f32backed Yes | 4c | 3,453$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,863$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…a067backed Yes | 5c | 2,810$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…f661backed Yes | 4c | 2,728$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 4c | 2,616$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Yes | 4c | 2,611$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 4c | 2,581$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 4c | 2,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…a003backed Yes | 4c | 2,198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ffd6backed Yes | 4c | 2,098$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 5c | 2,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 1,971$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,860$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 4c | 1,762$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 19.2%25 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 4c | 1,673$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 3c | 1,636$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 6c | 1,482$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,473$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,422$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Yes | 4c | 1,412$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…1e2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,395$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…da40backed Yes | 4c | 1,395$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…8df0backed Yes | 4c | 1,395$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,264$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 4c | 1,249$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…2465backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…268bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 5.4%4 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…c9dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 4c | 1,116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yes | 4c | 1,071$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,065$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…7b07backed Yes | 4c | 1,055$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…ac60backed Yes | 4c | 1,017$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 4c | 1,016$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 4c | 952.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes | 4c | 952.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…0a02backed Yes | 4c | 930.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…1d03backed Yes | 4c | 930.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…7d7abacked Yes | 4c | 924.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 4c | 904.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Yes | 4c | 902.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 864.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…f7b7backed Yes | 4c | 847.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 128 | 11.7%15 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 4c | 840.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 4c | 813.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 803.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 5c | 799.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…c101backed Yes | 5c | 743.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 4c | 731.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 4c | 714.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 4c | 713.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 4c | 700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 4c | 697.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 4c | 697.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739f…0d27backed Yes | 5c | 665.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Yes | 5c | 664.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.