TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$738,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$647,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c73,454$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes4c62,550$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.852313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes3c60,665$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.0971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes4c28,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.5356410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c19,737$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…038cbacked Yes0c19,701$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.38160%0 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes4c13,000$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes5c12,230$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.517659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes4c9,206$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes4c9,034$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.151,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes4c8,728$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2215746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes4c7,694$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8519517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c6,789$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…f4d2backed Yes0c6,455$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91190%0 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c5,716$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2696729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes4c5,612$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes4c5,285$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9714219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes4c5,162$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.662187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes4c5,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes5c4,713$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes4c4,651$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Yes2c3,888$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.428041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes5c3,869$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes4c3,520$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes4c3,488$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e8…9f32backed Yes4c3,453$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6460%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes2c3,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes4c2,863$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4338948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4404…a067backed Yes5c2,810$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.152412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2825…f661backed Yes4c2,728$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c2,616$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8735…db43backed Yes4c2,611$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.433158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes4c2,581$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes3c2,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes4c2,381$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…f295backed Yes4c2,375$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes4c2,198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.537118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes5c2,177$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x677d…ffd6backed Yes4c2,098$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.290%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes5c2,076$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes4c2,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes4c1,971$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes4c1,860$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074a…f8a3backed Yes4c1,762$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513019.2%25 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes4c1,673$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes6c1,670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes3c1,636$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.975217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes6c1,482$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7725328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes4c1,473$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.871910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes4c1,422$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Yes4c1,412$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606015%9 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e5…1e2fbacked Yes4c1,395$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc90…da40backed Yes4c1,395$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604010%4 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…8df0backed Yes4c1,395$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602520%5 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes4c1,264$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Yes4c1,249$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.46476.4%3 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes2c1,200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes1c1,200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes4c1,190$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…2465backed Yes4c1,190$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes4c1,163$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes4c1,163$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Yes4c1,163$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504012.5%5 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes4c1,163$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256f…c9dbbacked Yes4c1,156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes4c1,155$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes4c1,136$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes4c1,116$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes4c1,100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.914119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Yes4c1,071$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.56134.4%21 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes4c1,065$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0138817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afe…7b07backed Yes4c1,055$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.59488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b5…ac60backed Yes4c1,017$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes4c1,016$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.726835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Yes4c952.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018554.6%101 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes4c952.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407710.4%8 W · 69 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Yes4c930.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb2…1d03backed Yes4c930.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…7d7abacked Yes4c924.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes4c904.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Yes4c902.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.797133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes2c864.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x103e…f7b7backed Yes4c847.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612811.7%15 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes4c840.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.671,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes4c813.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c803.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.022,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes5c799.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…c101backed Yes5c743.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.092611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes4c731.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes4c714.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes4c713.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes4c700$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.126836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes4c697.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes4c697.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739f…0d27backed Yes5c665.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…af97backed Yes5c664.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.017319.2%14 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick20cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.