Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985c20ed2bac3ebe1ad755016740e7af684bfb0b9b510856caa00de3944ff33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 96,195$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 1c | 22,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 20,574$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 11,503$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 1c | 11,140$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 2c | 9,185$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 1c | 8,413$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 1c | 8,089$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 6,770$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 4,598$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 1c | 4,524$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 1c | 4,495$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 1c | 4,192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 19.2%25 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Yes | 2c | 3,945$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 1c | 3,420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 3,293$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…a3d3backed Yes | 4c | 3,042$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 1c | 2,621$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…71cbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,571$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…c9dbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,384$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…28a3backed Yes | 1c | 2,339$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 1c | 2,155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,967$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…aa48backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,574$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,564$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 1c | 1,526$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…ab70backed Yes | 1c | 1,407$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 1,326$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 1,286$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…9dd6backed Yes | 1c | 1,273$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,232$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…d163backed Yes | 1c | 1,091$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…06a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…223bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 3.1%2 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…c21ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…6cf3backed Yes | 1c | 982.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…98c6backed Yes | 1c | 968.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.