MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ceeed04708f446061522e015cdfb7b9eed0bf6541c2cc39320e9966ac78843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Pirates, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Phillies | 75c | 291,589$218,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,897.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Pirates | 25c | 205,257$51,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,314.26 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 25c | 42,730$10,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,655.21 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 25c | 11,688$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 25c | 10,696$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Pirates | 29c | 9,999$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…ca05backed Phillies | 71c | 9,992$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 19c | 8,338$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 75c | 8,117$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.37 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 25c | 7,989$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.35 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 27c | 7,823$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 73c | 7,466$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.82 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 76c | 2,972$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.35 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Pirates | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Phillies | 71c | 1,951$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 75c | 1,935$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pirates | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 28c | 999.65$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 25c | 900$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 26c | 880.65$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 25c | 850$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Pirates | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Phillies | 80c | 752.19$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a6…2295backed Pirates | 27c | 680$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…a15bbacked Phillies | 73c | 680$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 73c | 660.81$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 25c | 496.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 26c | 481.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Pirates | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Pirates | 27c | 448.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 24c | 444.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Phillies | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 75c | 266.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 25c | 259$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 19c | 251.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 72c | 247.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 24c | 225$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 72c | 209.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Pirates | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Pirates | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 16c | 122.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 26c | 115.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Phillies | 76c | 112.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Phillies | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 74c | 108.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Phillies | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pirates | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pirates | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked Phillies | 79c | 88.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…25a5backed Phillies | 72c | 84.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Pirates | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…e110backed Pirates | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 72c | 63.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Phillies | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Pirates | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Phillies | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…9179backed Phillies | 76c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…989abacked Pirates | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b15abacked Pirates | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 76c | 38.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…dc31backed Pirates | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a04fbacked Phillies | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Phillies | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Phillies | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Phillies | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a1…27c6backed Phillies | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…b6c1backed Phillies | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Phillies | 74c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…e228backed Phillies | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…3fc8backed Phillies | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Phillies | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.