MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018c23cbddabfbc80d269065ffceb1657a540d15371c4749a1d1b11c63d85d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Cardinals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Phillies | 67c | 51,932$34,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,332.44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 37c | 29,835$10,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,901.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…0412backed Phillies | 61c | 28,952$17,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,291.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…fa5ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 28,758$11,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,215.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cardinals | 34c | 23,209$7,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,935.82 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…0ccfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 9,998$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Phillies | 62c | 9,171$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.69 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Cardinals | 1c | 9,075$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 60c | 9,002$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Cardinals | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 40c | 7,837$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.91 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 59c | 7,338$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.98 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Cardinals | 1c | 6,799$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeacc…6c6ebacked Cardinals | 1c | 6,745$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cardinals | 40c | 6,192$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.93 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 61c | 6,175$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.66 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 61c | 5,728$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 61c | 3,238$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 59c | 3,085$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.8 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Phillies | 75c | 2,900$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.73 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…cf00backed Cardinals | 2c | 2,634$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Cardinals | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 18c | 2,188$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,072$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,703$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Phillies | 62c | 1,627$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,625$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.83 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,138$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 40c | 1,052$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.61 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Cardinals | 37c | 902.16$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.42 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 36c | 834.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…75cbbacked Cardinals | 40c | 675$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Cardinals | 39c | 650$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…03c5backed Cardinals | 38c | 605.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 58c | 520.19$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 73c | 518.12$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 5c | 467$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Cardinals | 44c | 455.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d139backed Cardinals | 39c | 440$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…3dd4backed Phillies | 67c | 355.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 328.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…ee5abacked Cardinals | 44c | 304.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Phillies | 72c | 264.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Cardinals | 38c | 258.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Cardinals | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 55c | 237.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Cardinals | 45c | 237.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Phillies | 59c | 237.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Cardinals | 26c | 214.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 13c | 186.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals | 28c | 178.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Phillies | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Phillies | 68c | 132.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7729backed Phillies | 61c | 123$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cardinals | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 39c | 108.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Cardinals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Phillies | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Cardinals | 25c | 81.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Phillies | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 67c | 71.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…2d71backed Phillies | 60c | 66.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…45c4backed Cardinals | 49c | 62.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…c475backed Cardinals | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cardinals | 34c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Phillies | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…8e10backed Cardinals | 32c | 54.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 63c | 54.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 62c | 52.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 51.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…d2dfbacked Phillies | 62c | 50.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Cardinals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Cardinals | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…1acbbacked Cardinals | 43c | 49.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…cdb2backed Phillies | 61c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Phillies | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…2f24backed Phillies | 61c | 45.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Cardinals | 61c | 45.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Cardinals | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 63c | 39.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…4dafbacked Cardinals | 41c | 39.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed Cardinals | 44c | 36.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…fc5ebacked Phillies | 61c | 35.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…e50dbacked Phillies | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Phillies | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…7707backed Cardinals | 40c | 31.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.