TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astrosof Astros, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8a2…3b96backed Astros46c35,000$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,899.995461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Rangers47c28,291$13,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,224.211746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c8…5644backed Astros51c13,482$6,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,671.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers54c9,093$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.711,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Astros50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00033554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers50c5,452$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.8914648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers44c5,340$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.912,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Astros41c4,988$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.811,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers52c3,446$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros32c3,084$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.3439436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros50c3,047$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.514048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rangers68c2,663$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.9379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rangers47c2,584$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.3115553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Astros52c2,340$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.3698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Astros45c1,958$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.5912624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Astros50c1,798$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8214444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Astros55c1,676$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f5…95a3backed Rangers32c1,566$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Rangers24c1,555$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.814539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Astros55c1,510$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.493342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6753250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers40c1,208$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros54c927.94$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8533349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros50c874$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros50c776.36$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…0bc4backed Rangers4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Rangers50c713.36$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.685050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Astros53c696.63$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.425,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Astros10c660$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers54c627.78$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros52c581.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Rangers48c465.76$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1943250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros52c404.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.072,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers56c400.98$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.824,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Rangers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009854.1%53 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Astros41c387.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.861,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Astros26c379.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1420150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Astros46c338.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.632646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Astros50c328$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16419852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Astros45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16513555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Astros48c299.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8510858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f3…e75bbacked Astros73c246.42$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.861668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros12c211.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros48c207.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.732,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Astros52c207$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3623753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Astros52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Astros51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0828453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Astros51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Astros15c190.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5725835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Rangers69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Astros54c148.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1449450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8095…97b6backed Rangers74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Astros44c124.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.648543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Astros17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…7587backed Rangers74c113.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Astros46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Rangers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Astros49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Astros51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Astros57c76.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rangers54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Rangers75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers26c66.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers50c64.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.461,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c31…a0c5backed Astros54c55.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0986…4504backed Astros55c53.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Astros51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Rangers50c49.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1419356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Astros57c43.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8994455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103b…6b22backed Rangers50c32.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2475…a2b2backed Astros47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rangers46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.838245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0555…55bfbacked Astros51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Astros52c29.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086b…5891backed Rangers57c28.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Astros52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1971…c2c4backed Rangers73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Rangers76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65d…9c29backed Rangers47c25.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…c1febacked Rangers51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…2d66backed Rangers68c19.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…934fbacked Rangers73c15.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.