CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06cf66fe0a8bef0301dc0393638dde36f9c45198b1e32212aea1a152bdba987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 67c | 2,900$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 50c | 2,052$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.79 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Over | 50c | 2,022$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Under | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 58c | 1,409$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.93 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Under | 27c | 1,277$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.71 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 45c | 870$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 7c | 753.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 36c | 542.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 496.09$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Under | 29c | 235$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 227.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 37c | 140.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 121.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 48c | 119.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 47c | 111.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed Under | 37c | 107.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Over | 50c | 105.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked Under | 52c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 50c | 52.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…fc20backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…8a67backed Over | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Over | 51c | 23.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Over | 52c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…e6cfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…b2aebacked Over | 75c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.