Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Genoa (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86de9c40ab912abc30d25e964288e6dd2b16d438c5aa2e831214066bab18bd71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoaof Genoa, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Genoa | 55c | 6,513$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.43 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 43c | 5,970$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 1,236$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…0317backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Genoa | 26c | 806.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.75 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Genoa | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Genoa | 25c | 459$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…1969backed Genoa | 29c | 357.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Genoa | 57c | 171.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Genoa | 30c | 169.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 53c | 94.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Genoa | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Genoa | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…c2dabacked Genoa | 30c | 60.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Genoa | 26c | 40.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…f31fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Genoa (-0.5)this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.