Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab0855cc89d43c32f61b17c1ccf8d5da5fd7bfbebad48b769a22f913c0012bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 63c | 3,630$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.26 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Under | 64c | 3,459$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.78 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 36c | 3,100$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 65c | 2,939$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 37c | 2,632$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.91 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,187$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.89 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 63c | 747.57$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.19 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 39c | 515.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 459.24$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.87 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 72c | 450$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 36c | 416.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 63c | 311.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…e8ffbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 37c | 275.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 47c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 25c | 195$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 64c | 116.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Over | 37c | 88.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 37c | 87.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 36c | 83.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…d772backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Under | 64c | 32.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…55c3backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Genoa (-0.5)Genoa won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.