Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4926bfaeefa6995400d251db43bfb5ad5969b5c08a32e6ec2d391a48d26f5759

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 11, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No	51c	12,296$6,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,006.22	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+7.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes	49c	8,104$3,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,971.16	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	10c	7,491$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6720…449ebacked Yes	20c	7,440$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	71c	7,392$5,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,163.16	386	45.3%175 W · 211 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No	52c	5,313$2,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,536.79	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Yes	48c	3,713$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.33	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No	52c	3,403$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,630.06	214	45.8%98 W · 116 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes	51c	2,210$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes	37c	2,020$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes	51c	1,967$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	51c	1,789$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.24	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes	20c	1,660$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	49c	1,639$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.94	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No	56c	1,472$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.66	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	72c	1,247$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.53	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	48c	963.23$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.35	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1119…7d62backed Yes	49c	916.51$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes	14c	875.56$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2a…6df2backed Yes	20c	850$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No	49c	847$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.97	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes	2c	815.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Yes	47c	700$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed No	55c	650$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-8.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes	45c	565.55$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.39	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes	47c	531.91$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	48c	520.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	49c	500$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b83…f984backed Yes	20c	492.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc9e…eda3backed Yes	49c	406.02$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes	50c	403.84$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.9	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No	53c	379.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.6	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	52c	293.33$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.8	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcabe…906dbacked Yes	49c	289.12$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No	50c	280$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.62	187	52.9%99 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62e5…bf81backed Yes	6c	248.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked Yes	46c	223.6$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.73	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	79c	210.48$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa991…6ce4backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5a…7fabbacked Yes	49c	203.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes	49c	200.4$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.16	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes	51c	197.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes	49c	179.59$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes	49c	168.37$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x599d…f3cabacked Yes	24c	141.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6899…6853backed No	52c	131.52$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.13	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes	47c	126.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.34	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	59c	119$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.79	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12ef…b868backed Yes	49c	118.96$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5dc…2978backed Yes	19c	118.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	44c	115.86$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	138	29%40 W · 98 L	-13.5wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe300…f71abacked Yes	35c	113.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed Yes	50c	112.54$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.27	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No	54c	111.11$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.11	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Yes	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	46c	103.19$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	50c	102.24$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.61	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Yes	50c	101.58$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.79	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa7b…d741backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No	53c	99.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes	44c	99.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b8…f54cbacked No	53c	99.74$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.88	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008e…5747backed No	52c	96.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes	49c	96.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.14	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed No	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Yes	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes	48c	88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	45c	85.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdd…1969backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	42cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed No	51c	80.39$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.39	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4196…f997backed Yes	47c	74.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	53c	65.66$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.86	240	44.2%106 W · 134 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3539…b17bbacked Yes	37c	56.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes	47c	56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cab…f4ecbacked No	56c	52.64$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.35	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes	49c	51.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a5…0f62backed Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe86e…db71backed Yes	30c	50.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fed…3b22backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?this page
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event