Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91188133e61bceb042a3b9737103f49d526464dad3106a224191f741c1523525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 4,100$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 34c | 3,706$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.19 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 26c | 3,408$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 26c | 2,307$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 55c | 2,015$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.94 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 1,837$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.83 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,286$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.32 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,269$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 24c | 896$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.96 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 76c | 569.01$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.45 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 45c | 517.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 9c | 501.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 28c | 452.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 55c | 382.56$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 9c | 381.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 371.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.11 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 29c | 288.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 10c | 191.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…e216backed No | 76c | 133.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 115$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 114$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 53c | 112.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 62c | 105.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…6c31backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…fcdfbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 26c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 40c | 78.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Yes | 28c | 76.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 60c | 69.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 75c | 38.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 56c | 37.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Yes | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…1a1bbacked Yes | 50c | 32.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…16e9backed Yes | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…8adfbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 58c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.