TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c15,497$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.536,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c4,353$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.1950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c3,171$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.451,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over49c3,034$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c2,950$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.231,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over55c2,395$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.664447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c2,127$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,039$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.484938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over54c2,024$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Under38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c1,927$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Under46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under43c1,201$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.591,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c1,051$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.131,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over56c968.71$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.236654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c919.47$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.991,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8620054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Under56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under44c752.62$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under44c636.54$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…6953backed Over56c461.45$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.821548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under45c431.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over55c413.49$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under23c387.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9112646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6410343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over54c321.19$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over55c318.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.541275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5142240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over57c277.58$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3614252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.758643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Under29c166.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.255959.3%35 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Over55c159.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under42c147.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6316136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9915263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over55c136.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.475922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8009…ca1bbacked Over56c123.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+76.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under43c123.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0129427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over57c105.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.333542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.68440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…c632backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under40c102.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0213249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5238…1bc0backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+64.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02a…8e83backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under47c97.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4649544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Over49c93.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.881540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under45c92.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.67440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa4…5332backed Over55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over57c82.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.467640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6319259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6327955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under48c78.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6225949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.736553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4425256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under46c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Under45c66.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8511628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8da…9311backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Over49c55.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49bb…27bdbacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over54c44.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.393836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe09e…9f48backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99e…b859backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over55c40.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Under46c36.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Under54c29.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.095954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2715866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96566.2%43 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over55c18.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.264151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.