Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b9b6b75594ec9ef2b6abbe8a69524f5d1d993b3dd3a472bc805db85f443fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 15,497$7,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,159.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 4,353$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.19 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 3,171$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Over | 49c | 3,034$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 2,950$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.23 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 55c | 2,395$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 2,127$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 49c | 2,039$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 54c | 2,024$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Under | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 1,927$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 43c | 1,201$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.59 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,051$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.13 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 968.71$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 919.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.99 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 752.62$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 636.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed Over | 56c | 461.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 45c | 431.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 55c | 413.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 23c | 387.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 54c | 321.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 55c | 318.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 57c | 277.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Under | 29c | 166.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Over | 55c | 159.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 42c | 147.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 55c | 136.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Over | 56c | 123.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 43c | 123.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 57c | 105.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…c632backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 40c | 102.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…1bc0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 92.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…5332backed Over | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 48c | 78.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 45c | 66.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…9311backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…27bdbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 54c | 44.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 55c | 40.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 46c | 36.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 54c | 29.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 55c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5this page
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)Manchester United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.