Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61983628d18d1acb55f77ac9248818af0f6c441244eb1d6589e9e70f8d81ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 51c | 20,533$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,033.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 18,700$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,417.42 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 18,614$9,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,121.09 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 36c | 8,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 5,909$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.08 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 49c | 4,086$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,751$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 62c | 2,126$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.61 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 50c | 2,012$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,565$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.03 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 1,534$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.08 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.48 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 1,250$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.97 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,036$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.8 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 51c | 890.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 44c | 882$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 813.49$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.74 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 688.19$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 586.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 51c | 559.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 448$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Under | 39c | 284.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 49c | 270$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 41c | 270$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 229.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 208.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 51c | 207.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 49c | 203.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 49c | 202.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…7061backed Over | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…1f37backed Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 39c | 176.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 143.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 55c | 102.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 44c | 91.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 90.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 47c | 80.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Over | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.