TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Nationals vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Nationals, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2efd…be4cbacked Braves65c54,530$35,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,085.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbec…8178backed Nationals35c54,210$18,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,973.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals35c26,261$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3006157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Braves66c13,680$9,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.1924852.4%130 W · 118 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals34c10,684$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.611,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9bffbacked Braves66c9,999$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f15…2ffdbacked Nationals34c9,998$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Braves65c9,138$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18714048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves65c7,000$4,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Braves64c4,477$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.8724553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals32c3,717$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.611,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x531f…8b66backed Braves66c2,770$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals17c2,379$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.442,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Braves65c2,222$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.6960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed Nationals34c2,200$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Braves66c2,013$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.422864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Braves67c2,005$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7211357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Nationals34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x233a…5fd2backed Nationals34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa070…c260backed Nationals34c1,970$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898c…716dbacked Nationals34c1,900$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+74.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe22…cd4ebacked Nationals34c1,900$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76de…8945backed Nationals34c1,830$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves65c1,569$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.131,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Braves65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.468457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Nationals36c1,523$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.265545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce3…4aa8backed Braves66c1,030$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f9…c621backed Braves66c1,015$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…facabacked Braves66c985$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5287…09bdbacked Braves66c967$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c24…a8cbbacked Braves66c962$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc96c…4fcdbacked Braves66c938$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc089…3a18backed Braves66c933$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves78c848.61$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.249,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves63c786.02$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.831,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Braves66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.067451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves66c568.18$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Nationals33c564.88$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.172646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c2…eacbbacked Braves65c560$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cb…69ffbacked Nationals35c560$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Nationals36c556$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1692050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nationals21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Nationals25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves67c355.25$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2517866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…1c86backed Nationals35c320$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Braves65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6921242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Nationals7c307.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves66c303.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.082,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Braves64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10868656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Braves66c248.71$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5615757.3%90 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked Braves80c244.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.851782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nationals27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Nationals34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves66c176.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.862,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Braves65c162.01$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.710746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Braves65c145$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7523753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nationals35c143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.051,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Braves66c106.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3525452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Braves80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Braves66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3446753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Nationals32c79.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4411058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Braves79c76.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8143250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Braves66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked Braves66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f52…9057backed Braves66c74.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fc…b47dbacked Nationals35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Braves66c70.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1918…e68bbacked Nationals36c63.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked Braves67c63.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3640…5f75backed Braves66c63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e6…fcd9backed Nationals35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Braves65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5455152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x946b…5857backed Braves66c60.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.485156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Nationals34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals35c56.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9418236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves64c56.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.265,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae9…9988backed Nationals36c54.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf827…e599backed Nationals35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nationals34c44.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4590…989abacked Nationals35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c5…f6f4backed Braves66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Nationals35c39.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Braves65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Braves78c35.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…e85ebacked Nationals35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Braves67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Braves68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Braves80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515362.7%96 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8faf…2575backed Braves66c24.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Braves65c22.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eda…d4ddbacked Braves66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.