MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a802a954db9d6e8b7f3009eee70c562e21e28d969ba847c5b8a8180c1e3bff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Giants, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Nationals | 45c | 104,517$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,516.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 48c | 64,336$30,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,945.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Giants | 58c | 52,074$30,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,003.64 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 49c | 35,168$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,868.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Giants | 58c | 7,945$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.38 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 58c | 7,275$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.73 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 63c | 6,379$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 62c | 5,784$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.48 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 0c | 5,421$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Giants | 58c | 5,248$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.84 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants | 26c | 4,927$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 62c | 3,675$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Giants | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 58c | 2,059$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 57c | 1,518$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 47c | 1,430$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 58c | 1,197$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.26 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nationals | 74c | 1,150$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.82 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Giants | 6c | 1,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 57c | 981$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 32c | 939.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Giants | 55c | 799.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 62c | 757.89$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.26 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 2c | 750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giants | 15c | 732.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e14cbacked Nationals | 41c | 640$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 40c | 533$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Giants | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nationals | 72c | 439.32$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Giants | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 69c | 385.88$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 55c | 379.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Giants | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 50c | 365.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 44c | 359.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fe56backed Giants | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Giants | 16c | 313.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 58c | 309.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Giants | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…ff2dbacked Giants | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Giants | 57c | 280.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Giants | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 61c | 260.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 56c | 235$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 44c | 226.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Giants | 58c | 200.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Nationals | 41c | 199.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 27c | 182.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Giants | 11c | 169.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Giants | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Nationals | 80c | 148.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Giants | 26c | 137.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Giants | 28c | 127.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Giants | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 31c | 105.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Nationals | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Giants | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Giants | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…c65dbacked Nationals | 43c | 79.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Nationals | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nationals | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Giants | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Giants | 60c | 74.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Giants | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Nationals | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 42c | 68.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 64c | 63.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…c324backed Nationals | 45c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Giants | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…c14abacked Giants | 56c | 61.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Nationals | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…114bbacked Nationals | 45c | 60.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…ab20backed Giants | 59c | 59.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Nationals | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…d4a0backed Giants | 57c | 56.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Nationals | 45c | 55.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Giants | 57c | 55.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…5ac2backed Giants | 60c | 54.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…a613backed Nationals | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…47bcbacked Giants | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Nationals | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…92b7backed Nationals | 45c | 51.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Giants | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Nationals | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Nationals | 72c | 46.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.