MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6845839744ae7c1ad945cca56850d059ea5bb45158f54e1a0e69516394f39205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 32c | 79,093$25,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,732.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Athletics | 52c | 60,804$31,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,452.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 63c | 52,420$33,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,056.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 64c | 36,951$23,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,554.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Phillies | 36c | 18,172$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660.22 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 43c | 17,304$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Phillies | 46c | 15,687$7,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,545.91 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Athletics | 49c | 12,173$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Phillies | 63c | 11,672$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.26 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Phillies | 73c | 5,039$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.47 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 35c | 4,149$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 57c | 3,716$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.07 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…014abacked Phillies | 46c | 3,625$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 59c | 3,269$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Phillies | 80c | 2,955$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…eba3backed Athletics | 39c | 2,709$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…b623backed Athletics | 39c | 2,681$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Phillies | 66c | 2,579$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 60c | 2,322$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Phillies | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 47c | 1,978$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.76 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721d…4ae3backed Phillies | 61c | 1,819$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…900bbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,805$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…03ebbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,766$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 30c | 1,637$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.42 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Phillies | 51c | 1,585$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 48c | 1,579$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.58 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 61c | 1,541$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.89 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Athletics | 23c | 1,531$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 75c | 1,519$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Phillies | 62c | 1,471$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 43c | 1,445$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 24c | 1,266$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 51c | 1,264$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.44 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Athletics | 4c | 1,135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Athletics | 60c | 1,047$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Athletics | 32c | 977.42$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Phillies | 56c | 948.89$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.57 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 44c | 922.49$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 39c | 885.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 39c | 867.02$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 47c | 847.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Phillies | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 67c | 791.37$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Athletics | 40c | 746.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Athletics | 46c | 699.97$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 74c | 674.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…7473backed Athletics | 36c | 660.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 69c | 660.15$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Athletics | 45c | 644.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Phillies | 73c | 601$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Phillies | 61c | 586$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 43c | 576.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Phillies | 37c | 565$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Athletics | 58c | 544.35$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 48c | 542.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Phillies | 56c | 539.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Phillies | 62c | 537.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 61c | 514$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 48c | 498.27$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.34 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 20c | 491.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 55c | 484.61$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Phillies | 33c | 449.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Athletics | 63c | 440.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 55c | 438$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Phillies | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Phillies | 65c | 391.08$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 47c | 370.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Athletics | 40c | 335$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies | 69c | 330.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 52c | 323.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ba…eda7backed Phillies | 65c | 320.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Athletics | 33c | 317.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Athletics | 36c | 307.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 60c | 296.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Phillies | 19c | 290.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 57c | 290$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Athletics | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Athletics | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Phillies | 71c | 248.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Athletics | 25c | 243.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Phillies | 43c | 220$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Phillies | 44c | 205.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Phillies | 55c | 187.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Athletics | 60c | 183.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.