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MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Giants, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f9…8dcabacked Tigers53c116,489$62,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,391.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants47c21,533$10,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,120.4260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Giants49c20,669$10,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,127.724553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Giants50c19,409$9,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,704.3727948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Giants71c11,682$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3004858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers20c10,170$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1361,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Tigers50c8,599$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.514048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers31c7,518$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,190.272,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0512…6f17backed Tigers35c4,137$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants47c4,122$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0501,16049.3%572 W · 588 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants49c2,627$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.821,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Giants48c2,219$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.11,00449.8%500 W · 504 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5270…867dbacked Giants48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Giants49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9808749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf88…52d4backed Giants48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Tigers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed00…f47abacked Giants48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-75.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf939…0d72backed Giants48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+76.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Giants49c1,997$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.532642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Giants48c1,979$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Giants64c1,951$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.5216151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe923…e0fabacked Giants48c1,850$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf534…bdf0backed Tigers52c1,625$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b7…e14bbacked Giants48c1,625$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers36c1,348$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.2179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5269…2301backed Tigers52c1,155$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants55c1,102$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.8497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc13…adc4backed Tigers52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1006…e4a6backed Tigers52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0c…2512backed Giants48c1,090$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680e…8aa8backed Tigers52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa1…1b5fbacked Giants48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef4e…7deebacked Tigers52c1,037$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c2…455dbacked Tigers52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5287…09bdbacked Tigers52c1,006$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Tigers73c1,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22c…4942backed Giants48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x472f…d066backed Tigers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f2…becebacked Tigers52c998$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…2c70backed Tigers52c994$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ea…f8fdbacked Tigers52c981$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b3…bfdbbacked Tigers52c973$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.04825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7429…247cbacked Tigers52c963$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5edb…3865backed Tigers52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306a…a733backed Tigers52c942$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Giants48c910$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants47c906$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…2114backed Tigers52c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb96e…6873backed Tigers52c887$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06b…b36ebacked Giants48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers50c799.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa593…4ac5backed Giants48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Tigers32c732.23$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9243250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers35c635.91$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.469,94746.4%4,619 W · 5,328 L+38.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Tigers32c625.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Giants48c589.41$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Giants36c553.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Giants47c538.38$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.278139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers20c523.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Tigers49c509.62$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6225835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Giants62c500.61$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Giants50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Tigers52c473.23$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.154153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants25c456.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5618449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…7cdbbacked Tigers52c450$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers40c388.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.961,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3638455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants48c335.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Giants12c313.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.765429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Giants24c299.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8219849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tigers37c273.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.412624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…265cbacked Tigers78c262$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Giants49c238.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,01551.3%521 W · 494 L+38.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers44c226.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4915256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Giants49c214.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Giants47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Giants49c194.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2323753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers53c189.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.692,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Tigers49c173.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers20c170.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.31,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Tigers37c161.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.258434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8751953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Tigers52c147.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.822646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers28c136.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.81,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers45c131.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4eb…154bbacked Tigers52c105.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb59b…a8e0backed Giants50c104.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d27…f6cfbacked Giants17c101.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.144025%10 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23b7…9631backed Tigers53c100.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…ac20backed Giants48c100.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.