MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5e09b87c27a855b6c3cb811a8357f9ef4e92abf0320c267dd71f9ac6f8ff80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Cubs, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cubs | 46c | 15,000$6,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.98 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Cubs | 36c | 13,425$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.18 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 54c | 11,298$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 69c | 4,029$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 54c | 3,990$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 65c | 3,394$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 60c | 3,033$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mets | 58c | 2,937$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.65 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Mets | 58c | 2,864$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.81 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cubs | 46c | 2,661$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Mets | 60c | 2,502$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.03 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 46c | 2,498$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.08 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mets | 54c | 2,484$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 39c | 2,455$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Cubs | 4c | 2,239$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Mets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mets | 54c | 1,795$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.62 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cubs | 46c | 1,730$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.34 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Mets | 54c | 1,721$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.63 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Mets | 76c | 994.04$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 18c | 930.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 46c | 925.26$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.62 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Cubs | 45c | 916$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Mets | 55c | 916$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mets | 54c | 741.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 35c | 728.57$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets | 64c | 693.92$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Cubs | 35c | 657.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Mets | 72c | 652.1$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mets | 68c | 597.24$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cubs | 52c | 577.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Cubs | 46c | 438.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mets | 54c | 434$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 46c | 430.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Cubs | 40c | 397.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 30c | 336.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Mets | 73c | 304.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Cubs | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 41c | 276$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Mets | 63c | 258.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 45c | 252.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Mets | 55c | 246.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Mets | 56c | 238$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Mets | 55c | 229.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cubs | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mets | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mets | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mets | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Cubs | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Mets | 66c | 180.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Cubs | 46c | 169.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Cubs | 46c | 152.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…461bbacked Cubs | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Mets | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Mets | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Cubs | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cubs | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Cubs | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…f984backed Cubs | 52c | 117.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mets | 53c | 101.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…0b5bbacked Cubs | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 75c | 82.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Cubs | 15c | 68.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Cubs | 45c | 62.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…ee80backed Cubs | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Mets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Mets | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…d7ebbacked Mets | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Mets | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Mets | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…1467backed Mets | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…af11backed Mets | 66c | 45.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 55c | 44.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Mets | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Mets | 76c | 42.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Cubs | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…90a1backed Cubs | 45c | 41.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Mets | 57c | 41.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Cubs | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Mets | 53c | 39.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…8935backed Mets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 55c | 33.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…2eeebacked Cubs | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…b598backed Mets | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Mets | 60c | 32.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 38c | 31.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Mets | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.