Fifa International · resolved market
Will Oman vs. Sudan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7506eddf1b08db17a9baeb1d522afec0c8a784845572a443503674fc71befd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,717$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.62 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 2,521$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 1,175$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.23 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 917.08$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 60c | 791.62$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 33c | 664.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 370.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 65c | 299.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 279.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 248.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 229$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed Yes | 36c | 152.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 34c | 89.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 37c | 79.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 78.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…91dcbacked Yes | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 35c | 69.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…2d99backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…0b45backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 21.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oman vs. Sudan end in a draw?this page
- Will Oman win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
- Will Sudan win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.