Fifa International · resolved market
Will Oman win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec112d56829d545653fa7d93a66f1e85b6de3967d0a3831a22d2f857a6906212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 21,781$10,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,191.76 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 40c | 8,842$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.2 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 7,697$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.39 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 5,331$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.97 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,977$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 1,995$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.3 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 1,696$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.57 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 55c | 1,510$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.61 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,484$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.8 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 33c | 1,434$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 933.77$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 831.49$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.61 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 4c | 780.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Yes | 37c | 750$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 732.53$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 50c | 497.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 43c | 495.53$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 428.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed No | 56c | 294.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 44c | 288.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 25c | 263.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 47c | 259.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 257$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 46c | 257$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 54c | 211.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 194.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 174.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 44c | 149.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…3993backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 35c | 141.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 43c | 125.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Yes | 40c | 113.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 46c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 46c | 97.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed No | 49c | 82.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 46c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 46c | 58.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Yes | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 52c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 59c | 42.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 46c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 46c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 46c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 46c | 40.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 49c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 41c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…a2aabacked Yes | 55c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…b672backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…90cabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oman win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Oman vs. Sudan end in a draw?No won
- Will Sudan win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.