NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc86e770eb804417682503608d8d286fcc9e299babe03adecd3282c1dff58512f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Penguins | 44c | 24,029$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,390.84 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets | 17c | 12,597$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 10,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 7,142$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 5,367$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.72 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 51c | 5,168$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Penguins | 29c | 4,651$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.07 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 44c | 4,364$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.84 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 4,179$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 24c | 4,027$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.94 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jackets | 23c | 3,511$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.3 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Penguins | 45c | 3,311$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.11 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 44c | 3,292$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.5 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets | 60c | 3,261$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Penguins | 22c | 2,859$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Penguins | 45c | 2,361$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.3 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Penguins | 38c | 2,291$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.27 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.98 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 2,180$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.96 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Penguins | 48c | 2,081$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 1,630$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 1,514$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 44c | 1,505$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.68 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.83 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 44c | 1,128$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.81 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 44c | 1,117$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.53 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 43c | 1,104$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.52 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,095$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.82 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets | 79c | 1,083$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Penguins | 46c | 959.06$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 63c | 949.51$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Penguins | 44c | 910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 840.26$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 777$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Penguins | 27c | 745.83$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Penguins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 616.07$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 603.26$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…94b7backed Penguins | 51c | 590.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Blue Jackets | 24c | 580$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Penguins | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 539$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jackets | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Penguins | 45c | 444.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 439.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 409.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Penguins | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 45c | 395$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 44c | 377.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 351.11$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Penguins | 46c | 347.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 345.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 341.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Penguins | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 333.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…cd54backed Penguins | 47c | 303.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Blue Jackets | 8c | 300.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 297$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 289.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 267.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Penguins | 45c | 264.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Penguins | 23c | 259$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…8f0dbacked Penguins | 29c | 256.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…875abacked Penguins | 21c | 245.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 240.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Penguins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Penguins | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Penguins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Blue Jackets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…7187backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 191.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…2edcbacked Penguins | 45c | 189.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695e…92f1backed Penguins | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…2645backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…8329backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 34c | 185.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…94f1backed Penguins | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 176$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Penguins | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 162.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Penguins | 71c | 145.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Penguins | 45c | 143$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Blue Jackets | 42c | 140.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.