MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3654e2d2d2b85e06e250796854c16ee1b43e0c6a5ed879f71f93fd0ca944d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Red Sox | 56c | 150,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Red Sox | 56c | 91,127$50,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,665.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Orioles | 44c | 85,488$37,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,873.27 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 44c | 74,000$32,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,440 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 44c | 46,912$20,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,036.15 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Orioles | 45c | 24,983$11,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,790.94 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 57c | 20,668$11,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,781.01 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Red Sox | 55c | 18,183$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.44 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 44c | 13,589$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,627.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 46c | 9,964$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.9 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 36c | 7,823$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 44c | 7,470$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.73 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 44c | 5,165$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Red Sox | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 57c | 4,563$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…014abacked Red Sox | 63c | 4,333$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 41c | 4,174$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.25 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 3,926$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Red Sox | 4c | 3,700$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Red Sox | 14c | 3,695$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox | 57c | 3,513$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.67 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 19c | 3,486$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Sox | 10c | 2,644$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Orioles | 70c | 2,288$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.28 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,963$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,781$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.06 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Orioles | 41c | 1,333$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,206$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Red Sox | 54c | 999.14$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Orioles | 46c | 980$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 55c | 899.94$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Red Sox | 45c | 551.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Red Sox | 56c | 551.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 63c | 547.48$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 56c | 503.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.37 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox | 47c | 400.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Red Sox | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Red Sox | 55c | 322.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 35c | 316.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Red Sox | 57c | 312.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 11c | 303.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 54c | 295.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Red Sox | 60c | 200.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Orioles | 45c | 199.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Red Sox | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 44c | 167.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox | 52c | 161.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Red Sox | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Red Sox | 60c | 134.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…126cbacked Orioles | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…83bdbacked Red Sox | 54c | 124.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 121.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…dd2dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 116.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Orioles | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Orioles | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a7d0backed Orioles | 45c | 99.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 55c | 96.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Red Sox | 23c | 89.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Orioles | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 85.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Red Sox | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Red Sox | 56c | 84.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 50c | 73.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Red Sox | 56c | 71.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Red Sox | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8f04backed Red Sox | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Orioles | 69c | 67.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Orioles | 47c | 65.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…5be3backed Red Sox | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 46c | 58.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…a04ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 58.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 42c | 50.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Sox | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Orioles | 48c | 44.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Orioles | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…320fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 43.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.