TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes32c18,584$5,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,94710848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No68c13,655$9,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.517958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No68c11,937$8,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.2279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c3,050$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes1c2,018$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes30c1,364$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No69c1,142$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bd…2b47backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd112…c648backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c982$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.781,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes33c920.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes1c917.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…fcf0backed Yes5c662.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8235…c814backed No69c645$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No69c616$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.965257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ba…ea64backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7b…6c71backed Yes2c550$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes32c395.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.621625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747d…fccabacked Yes32c375.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe0…37adbacked Yes31c375$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+129%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.323658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…ac91backed Yes32c354.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5df…15edbacked No69c325$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+139.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8050…49ffbacked No69c325$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No69c314.68$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No70c271.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.436167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1370%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x604f…9c80backed No69c245$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes5c240$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b83…f984backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…a459backed No69c235$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes5c220$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No67c212.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes32c205.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No70c184$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d07…35e6backed No71c179.39$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.14422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes30c158.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.435442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6f…fc19backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f67…15c4backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes14c149.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes29c146.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…b68fbacked No69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No70c140.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6319460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes32c137.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9820027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes33c133.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Yes32c119.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be9…3e67backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed Yes13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x144d…f0f2backed No69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625c…af11backed No68c87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e00…c7dcbacked No69c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6490…2dfebacked No69c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes32c73.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No71c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb254…8935backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe568…8b92backed Yes24c57.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c6…9678backed Yes20c56.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.250%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No70c50.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.337252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc1…d7acbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d6…f503backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes32c46.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.967035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No68c40.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.819255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No70c39.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.747869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes32c38.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…064ebacked Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No70c35.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.532646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86e…db71backed Yes31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07c4…133ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7425…e4f0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4012…5c2fbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.575642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f20…438cbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.