Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4810a9bb533bc032f1f71aaf3886dde64494f058167173279a42903d1790a174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed BC Dubai | 70c | 62,901$43,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,107.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 43,489$23,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,248.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked BC Dubai | 59c | 17,505$10,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,101.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC Dubai | 46c | 16,285$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748.01 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 6,790$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.84 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 5,388$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.37 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BC Dubai | 45c | 3,746$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.26 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 65c | 3,574$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.79 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 2,607$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked BC Dubai | 74c | 2,593$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 2,220$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 2,019$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 2,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 1,875$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked BC Dubai | 61c | 1,628$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed BC Dubai | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked BC Dubai | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked BC Dubai | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 56c | 999.98$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 49c | 991.42$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed BC Dubai | 37c | 936.78$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked BC Dubai | 30c | 825$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 697.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 684.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 625.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…03e0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked BC Dubai | 55c | 477.82$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…b7d0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 13c | 424.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 41c | 419.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 410.88$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 57c | 308.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed BC Dubai | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked BC Dubai | 46c | 238.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 231.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 41c | 183.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 64c | 178.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 166.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked BC Dubai | 59c | 164.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed BC Dubai | 74c | 136$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 131.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked BC Dubai | 38c | 130.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked BC Dubai | 50c | 99.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed BC Dubai | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 78.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed BC Dubai | 79c | 78.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 15c | 77.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked BC Dubai | 53c | 66.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 49c | 65.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 52.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 51.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BC Dubai | 38c | 46.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed BC Dubai | 34c | 45.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed BC Dubai | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…6fc3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…d957backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 49c | 33.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed BC Dubai | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed BC Dubai | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed BC Dubai | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked BC Dubai | 60c | 27.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 27.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…54dbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed BC Dubai | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.