TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f5c…54db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$13.34
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.94
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.5%+$15.1
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$13.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.35
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.3%+$34.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.9%+$32.07
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$8.01
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.