Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7336d5cdb5f6a690b11d4ded9356b824d915fd4de91dbc9a420754260b013e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 18c | 16,917$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 5,558$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 4,296$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 10c | 2,739$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 16c | 1,849$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.38 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 1,372$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 17c | 896.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 881.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 21c | 876.49$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 9c | 805.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 8c | 434.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 19c | 419.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 16c | 405$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 11c | 316.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 18c | 210.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 19c | 185.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 17c | 177.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 18c | 136.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 18c | 99.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…54dbbacked Yes | 78c | 89.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.