TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c11,806$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.493,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No40c7,173$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.6715151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No41c4,837$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9832552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c4,087$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes61c2,773$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No41c2,440$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3920132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c1,710$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.075532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes61c1,649$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Yes60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No39c1,486$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No23c1,289$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7410860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No3c1,251$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.545841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…f1c6backed Yes61c1,213$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c1,015$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.221421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No42c999.93$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.978124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes60c999.2$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.681844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No40c952.62$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7913327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes62c715.31$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes56c675.73$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.047848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb22…ce57backed Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Yes58c588.83$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c575$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2114740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes73c413.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No11c357.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No39c332.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.876949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes59c319.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c307.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2633847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No5c307$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No18c260.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2320042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes60c259.87$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No41c244.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.437145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No44c192$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.487533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes60c171.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No41c169.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492540%10 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5d0…8dcdbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf678…efc7backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9be2…829fbacked Yes59c166$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No7c148.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8811644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No40c102.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.092330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4020056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402425%6 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.992821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…3bcebacked Yes60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes58c88.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.013345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1474…3454backed Yes59c84.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked Yes59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes60c75.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes57c70.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…d0e3backed Yes61c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No31c52.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ad…77b8backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Yes61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…850bbacked Yes57c45.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5c…54dbbacked Yes60c45.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes58c43.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.139644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No38c43.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4315846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked No44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.059561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85db…0d12backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.488124.7%20 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.