Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131a49215656ac018ab47d10ef1e38b9039d0360f6b1967589bd229261b0501a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,359$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 76c | 991.65$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 77c | 898.7$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 805.39$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 803.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 334$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 75c | 160.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 156.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 156$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 131.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 45.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…cc61backed Yes | 24c | 41.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…a49cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 77c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.