Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140b98a6a0034beaf60f02eed7097a245632f79acd6ccf634b64a7ca5e6ef224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 22,636$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.17 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 20,039$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 59c | 13,004$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 44c | 11,330$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 41c | 10,911$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 9,301$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.7 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 59c | 8,474$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.62 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 8,109$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.04 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 23c | 8,011$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.3 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 5,514$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.21 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 56c | 4,114$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 3,068$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.4 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 41c | 2,537$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 2,417$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 59c | 2,263$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 42c | 2,198$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,080$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.52 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 19c | 1,840$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.52 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 1,834$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.17 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,516$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 56c | 1,240$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 53c | 1,168$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 44c | 1,143$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 57c | 1,002$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.25 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 43c | 920.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 58c | 887.96$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.01 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 818.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.93 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 41c | 724$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 41c | 665.48$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.63 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 21c | 531.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 41c | 512.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 43c | 467.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 434.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 40c | 428.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Yes | 45c | 368.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 73c | 342.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 4c | 337.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 41c | 318.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 44c | 309.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 57c | 305.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 288$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 42c | 283.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 37c | 282.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 281$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 269.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 45c | 268.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 44c | 229.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…eff8backed Yes | 44c | 219.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 69c | 218.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 56c | 205$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Yes | 41c | 168.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 58c | 163.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 60c | 154.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…6f92backed Yes | 44c | 143.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 142.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 134.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e9c9backed Yes | 71c | 133.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 117.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…704fbacked Yes | 43c | 115.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 44c | 100.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.