TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes32c31,250$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0009265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c9,990$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No68c7,352$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.648245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c5,149$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.5935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No68c4,986$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.524042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes1c1,999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No68c1,849$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.675846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c1,536$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c1,349$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes20c1,249$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.13141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No69c1,111$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c914.08$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No68c887.99$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.166949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No70c821.43$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.433360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes8c736.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.952821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.449954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes7c634.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes32c627.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c422.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No70c419.34$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb134…af68backed Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6668…ad96backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No70c356.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.072245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No70c343.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.948345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes28c315.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3519736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c309.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5310360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No68c294$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.089148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes29c280.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.254639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes12c211$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.492025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5421243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c161.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7142844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes10c149$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.970%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No70c133.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.557550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd1a…f04fbacked No69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No68c102$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6413650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c101.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1614252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes31c80.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked No71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.369444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No70c71.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes28c60.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5610953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.568250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.566446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.566741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.567951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.568554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.568056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5614756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.568953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5623757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.566144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x760d…deaabacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes31c46.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.089037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.086344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.088444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.088046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes28c42.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab93…8fe3backed Yes31c38.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+79%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No68c37.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.214748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.523050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No79c31.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcf…921bbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No71c31.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No70c29.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.288052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.