NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7702f03819bcfd679ad365bfc9cf6a2bff82ccad9856f31940fee4db6b542c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Kings | 51c | 100,000$50,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,960.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hawks | 55c | 31,005$16,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,105.27 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 49c | 26,597$13,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,513.08 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 46c | 12,582$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 49c | 11,226$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.26 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hawks | 49c | 8,905$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.39 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Kings | 47c | 7,677$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.05 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 49c | 7,414$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.94 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 45c | 7,124$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hawks | 49c | 6,892$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 49c | 6,258$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hawks | 50c | 5,139$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.15 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks | 49c | 4,295$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.48 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks | 49c | 3,910$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.1 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Hawks | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 50c | 2,599$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.61 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 49c | 2,462$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.62 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Hawks | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…0788backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Hawks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 47c | 1,824$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 47c | 1,689$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 49c | 1,472$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.2 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 50c | 1,329$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.74 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Hawks | 49c | 970.91$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 45c | 919.92$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.96 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Hawks | 49c | 904.67$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 49c | 792.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 49c | 768.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 46c | 420.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Hawks | 56c | 420$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Hawks | 49c | 396.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Hawks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Hawks | 52c | 336.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Kings | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 49c | 331.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Hawks | 52c | 231.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Kings | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Hawks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Hawks | 50c | 198.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Hawks | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Kings | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Hawks | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawks | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Hawks | 52c | 113.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Hawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Kings | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 43c | 96.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Hawks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Hawks | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Kings | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Kings | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…e40dbacked Kings | 47c | 63.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Hawks | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hawks | 52c | 48.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Kings | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Hawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Hawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Hawks | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Hawks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Hawks | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…2480backed Hawks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Hawks | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)this page
- Hawks vs. KingsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.