MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9273db6e2285058233f7c5a057ba6a10d94fc02c04e8678cd1d80c8691bec8aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Astros, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Astros | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Astros | 0c | 17,391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 53c | 11,689$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Astros | 60c | 5,935$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.04 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 53c | 5,079$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Astros | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 40c | 4,449$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rangers | 54c | 3,142$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.09 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 52c | 2,480$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Rangers | 52c | 2,179$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.88 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Astros | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 6c | 1,511$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Astros | 3c | 1,471$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Astros | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.04 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rangers | 63c | 1,266$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.52 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 54c | 1,197$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.54 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 68c | 1,139$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rangers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 44c | 909.82$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rangers | 51c | 900.98$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.48 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 53c | 872.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 44c | 761.47$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Rangers | 63c | 722$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…2f1cbacked Rangers | 57c | 504.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 56c | 448.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 55c | 392.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 47c | 389.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Astros | 42c | 366.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 59c | 337.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 48c | 322$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Astros | 50c | 302.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rangers | 52c | 290.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Rangers | 53c | 255.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rangers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rangers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 45c | 195.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astros | 39c | 185.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 22c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Rangers | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rangers | 42c | 148.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Rangers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…4712backed Rangers | 52c | 106.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Astros | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Astros | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 48c | 83.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Rangers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 62c | 63.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 52c | 54.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…a910backed Astros | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…ed97backed Astros | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Astros | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…66f5backed Rangers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 40c | 35.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Astros | 48c | 35.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b10…c396backed Rangers | 61c | 29.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rangers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…022bbacked Rangers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 52c | 27.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Rangers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.