Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65aa5cc204d502c088b2f40b1695d589e456c61686dd22fbc5ba7aab2a6a8e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 56c | 33,994$19,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,036.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked No | 58c | 18,020$10,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,452.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed Yes | 42c | 18,015$7,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,448.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 44c | 6,094$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 5,175$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 5,047$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.89 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 43c | 2,784$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 56c | 2,192$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 794.21$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 787.57$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.94 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 45c | 613.33$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 43c | 519.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked Yes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 43c | 422.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 413$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 42c | 265.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 257.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 40c | 249.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…5c4bbacked Yes | 42c | 193$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…525abacked No | 58c | 192$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Yes | 41c | 190.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…3dc1backed No | 58c | 187$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…9409backed Yes | 42c | 186$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 65c | 182.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 42c | 152.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 152.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…cd54backed Yes | 43c | 139.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 136.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 131.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 118.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 24c | 114.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 44c | 113.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 111.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 43c | 101.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 55c | 99.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 36c | 85.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Yes | 42c | 75.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 61c | 65.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 44c | 64.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 57c | 62.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…f36fbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 37c | 52.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 43.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 39c | 40.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b4bdbacked Yes | 40c | 37.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…1cf2backed No | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed No | 69c | 32.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0471…1618backed Yes | 42c | 28.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…2b6bbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.