Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3aba8498f9aafe66f5e152bbcb2896f68d53aee848a666f9f7376a7cd8b380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,450$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.49 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,270$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 32c | 2,270$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 730.22$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 564.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 38c | 484.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 33c | 415.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 319.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 68c | 295.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 32c | 288.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 29c | 174.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 35c | 114.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 78.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 68c | 75.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 33c | 74.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…e803backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 27.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 69c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked No | 77c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.