Champions League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4a772ebb2db2d9e13ce1500611f29b15499d912c5e3d119c8be3f833d6e503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 16,497$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 59c | 5,326$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.12 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 41c | 818.3$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 59c | 800.63$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 53c | 478.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Over | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 65c | 374.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 38c | 290.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe669…28b6backed Over | 30c | 274.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 52c | 266.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 38c | 183.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…a1f0backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 76c | 141$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 56c | 138.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Under | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 63c | 111.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 16c | 102.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…2ef8backed Over | 62c | 96.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 57c | 93.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 60c | 76.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 44c | 59.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 70c | 52.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 39c | 49.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 79c | 40.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Over | 36c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…b9bdbacked Over | 62c | 34.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 59c | 26.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…94b2backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 60c | 16.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Over | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.