Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cce4f5eb2eb0573c68718660a07cdcf20b4558e2a4544558ab2dcf8c8f08696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 58c | 37,897$21,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,011.6 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…75f7backed No | 59c | 32,500$19,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…9f59backed Yes | 41c | 32,000$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 42c | 16,101$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.29 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 56c | 11,288$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.57 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 27c | 9,991$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257.56 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 44c | 8,857$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.91 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 8,838$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 44c | 5,045$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 58c | 4,501$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.35 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 4,222$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.97 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 57c | 3,721$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.81 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 31c | 3,431$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.95 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…251ebacked No | 29c | 2,413$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 16c | 2,332$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.64 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 2,300$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.46 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 44c | 2,289$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.23 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 2,260$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.98 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 2,015$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.05 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 42c | 1,854$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,702$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.16 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.99 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 60c | 1,692$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 25c | 1,488$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 75c | 1,477$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 34c | 1,469$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.52 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 57c | 1,400$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…faaabacked Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 31c | 947.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 923.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.61 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 59c | 879.12$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 47c | 667.72$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…7694backed No | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 44c | 587.39$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 43c | 567.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 561.77$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 47c | 556.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…03e7backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 55c | 452.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 45c | 359.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 57c | 352.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 44c | 324.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…cdd9backed Yes | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 37c | 316.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 42c | 316.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 42c | 283.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Yes | 71c | 280.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 56c | 278$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 40c | 274.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…dc7fbacked Yes | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked Yes | 74c | 250.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 48c | 243.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 238.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 377 | 40.3%152 W · 225 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 44c | 226.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Yes | 67c | 224.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 47c | 213.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…f984backed Yes | 48c | 205.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0ae6backed Yes | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed Yes | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 43c | 188.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 53c | 187.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Yes | 44c | 182.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…e964backed Yes | 65c | 176.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…0822backed Yes | 71c | 141.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 43c | 138.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 137.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3a75backed No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 57c | 121.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?No won
- Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.