Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16bf34efd7d4f29d2ed5c6810c85f27a7dcb78bca9ca60efe5e49b43e9b782c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 70c | 16,912$11,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 7c | 16,623$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.6 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 17c | 16,290$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.61 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 7,597$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.27 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 4c | 5,885$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked No | 71c | 4,247$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Yes | 32c | 3,934$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 3,050$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 70c | 2,868$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…5d2bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 29c | 2,328$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.24 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 7c | 2,243$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked No | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,488$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.53 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 69c | 1,430$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed No | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.49 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 1c | 1,415$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,323$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 1,245$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked No | 69c | 1,158$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 71c | 943.1$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 31c | 822.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 806.16$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.85 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 781.71$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…6df2backed Yes | 31c | 775$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 70c | 762.38$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes | 3c | 737.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed No | 69c | 680$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…05b8backed Yes | 11c | 661.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 4c | 515.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 31c | 467.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 74c | 463.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 29c | 460.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 31c | 435.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…8e97backed Yes | 27c | 319.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 21c | 317.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…5ff2backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…b576backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 69c | 259.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 4c | 252.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 7c | 230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 30c | 210.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…8f77backed Yes | 6c | 200.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yes | 26c | 174.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…db8fbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 7c | 160.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 75c | 138$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…62c5backed Yes | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 14c | 126.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 30c | 124.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 31c | 122.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…5ff8backed Yes | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 60.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…7ec5backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751e…3b9dbacked No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5d…430abacked No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…68dfbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 70c | 39.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…133ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ce…7d0abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f1…6feabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…dce1backed No | 71c | 26.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.