Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x853aa70bd49f3f45457985355c0bf384ced2bf45acfbadc56a95f0ca29f14ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 28c | 89,522$25,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,455.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 72c | 80,000$57,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,599.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Yes | 52c | 9,970$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 72c | 8,723$6,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280.87 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 6,852$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.73 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 28c | 6,515$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 78c | 4,857$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.01 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 4c | 4,490$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 13c | 3,565$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.65 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 20c | 3,150$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 3,094$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.48 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 3,037$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.33 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 2,444$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.1 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 72c | 1,720$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.1 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 25c | 1,488$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.29 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 31c | 1,243$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.02 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,183$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 1,171$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.07 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed No | 7c | 1,112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 7c | 900$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 15c | 697$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.57 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 70c | 652.7$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…44a4backed Yes | 27c | 585$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…2353backed No | 73c | 525$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 69c | 403.94$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 388.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 52c | 386.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 358.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 351.46$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 348$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…5408backed No | 73c | 345$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 61c | 337.15$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 11cpaid | +394.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…e6edbacked Yes | 12c | 298$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +391.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 58c | 233.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…da0ebacked Yes | 27c | 230$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 27c | 203.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…f453backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 74c | 171.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes | 70c | 171.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…2399backed Yes | 31c | 164.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…0088backed Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…62c5backed Yes | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…52ddbacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 59c | 117.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 40c | 89.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 50c | 74.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 72.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…d365backed Yes | 29c | 68.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 27c | 57.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 72c | 55.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…9f59backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…dc8fbacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 51.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 41.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…27cabacked Yes | 58c | 39.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Yes | 70c | 33.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Yes | 71c | 32.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b334backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…cd4bbacked Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.