Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3711d54a1c9b33af2e4a840ece296aafa11c0008d16dfb96e67b22874c7ffff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 58c | 9,267$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 42c | 7,352$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.77 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 46c | 2,977$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.76 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.12 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 44c | 1,971$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.65 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 1,906$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.88 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 10c | 1,590$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 1,449$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.75 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…a520backed Yes | 49c | 871.25$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd9…1c2cbacked No | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…950cbacked Yes | 56c | 604.89$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 30c | 567$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.13 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 48c | 499.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 48c | 481.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 46c | 475.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 447.19$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 73c | 383.97$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.14 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 53c | 376.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 45c | 334$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 255.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 48c | 173.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 112.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked No | 45c | 102.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 52c | 101.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 49c | 81.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 53c | 79.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…4793backed Yes | 52c | 71.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…6d4abacked Yes | 53c | 68.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 49c | 57.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Yes | 75c | 54.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 55c | 49.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked No | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 41c | 46.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 52c | 37.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed No | 50c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Fulham vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.