Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b6d64978392d6f4650da0e1cb49899c484c4cff4dd7e6eb166bb0273d77eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked No | 80c | 7,882$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 20c | 4,550$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 11c | 2,684$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.74 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,610$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.41 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 1c | 1,540$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…c814backed No | 79c | 995$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 19c | 958.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.32 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 20c | 837.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.14 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 20c | 556$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 7c | 459.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes | 23c | 440.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 22c | 440$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 79c | 358.57$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.27 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 78c | 294.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Yes | 22c | 270.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcd…d75bbacked Yes | 22c | 242.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 21c | 230$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…392cbacked Yes | 71c | 157.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 146.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 21c | 143$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed No | 80c | 76.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 22c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 22c | 57.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 78c | 27.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.