Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937aad5736ce63a45141c43c223ee65e68f46c5820843b4a9acf61905f2b9062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60f5…d984backed Yes | 27c | 9,999$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…4a50backed No | 73c | 9,999$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…59d0backed Yes | 29c | 842.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 764.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…026dbacked Yes | 27c | 695$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed No | 73c | 575$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 574.37$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 409.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 72c | 399.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 388.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 28c | 357.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 19c | 300.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 10c | 282.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…fc19backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…df33backed No | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed No | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 28c | 107.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 38c | 82.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 27c | 70.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 70.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 28c | 57.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 78c | 36.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.