MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0c98ec2a49d8e28daaca0efacee5669fc59e4453875d309a5a9a62a72de3bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 31c | 39,557$12,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,159.22 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b4…85f2backed Giants | 52c | 34,991$18,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,795.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a60bbacked Padres | 48c | 34,400$16,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 69c | 31,783$21,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,918.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 53c | 20,455$10,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,613.98 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 47c | 19,698$9,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 43c | 9,467$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 65c | 8,593$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.01 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 68c | 5,684$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 48c | 4,429$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.07 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 69c | 2,748$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Giants | 52c | 2,521$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.08 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Giants | 52c | 2,191$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.88 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 48c | 1,680$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Padres | 1c | 1,547$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 49c | 1,543$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 69c | 1,398$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Giants | 52c | 1,354$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 69c | 1,277$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 66c | 1,240$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Padres | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Giants | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Padres | 47c | 1,030$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Padres | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 48c | 999.91$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Padres | 30c | 971.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 46c | 912.93$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Giants | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 64c | 841.61$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Padres | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 37c | 644.65$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…16c0backed Padres | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Padres | 34c | 588.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 23c | 535$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 51c | 528.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Giants | 75c | 519.79$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 25c | 511.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 52c | 499.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Padres | 23c | 465.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 7c | 426.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Padres | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Giants | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Padres | 48c | 316.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Giants | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants | 54c | 299.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Giants | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 78c | 222$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Giants | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Padres | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Padres | 33c | 153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Padres | 26c | 145.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 53c | 143.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 48c | 137$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…3a23backed Padres | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 72c | 124.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…8378backed Padres | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…b18ebacked Padres | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…0915backed Giants | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…d769backed Giants | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Padres | 47c | 109.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…1520backed Giants | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…d46abacked Padres | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…6b93backed Padres | 48c | 106.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…d6c0backed Padres | 48c | 105.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Giants | 53c | 103.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Giants | 79c | 101.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Giants | 53c | 101.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 25c | 101.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Padres | 49c | 100.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…6f79backed Giants | 53c | 100.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1841backed Padres | 49c | 100.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Padres | 10c | 100.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Giants | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Padres | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…2e43backed Padres | 49c | 99.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…7f82backed Padres | 49c | 99.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Padres | 48c | 98.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…9883backed Giants | 53c | 98.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.