Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb78d3ae7796509b0820a9a0b58a0d32ab300d067026309ee8587e8d0cfd2bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Monaco | 77c | 9,652$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Monaco | 75c | 6,526$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.3 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 5,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 2,700$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.05 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Monaco | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 2,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2ababacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 1,733$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Monaco | 77c | 1,400$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 997$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…626cbacked Monaco | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 612.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 568$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 493.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 13c | 410$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 80c | 402$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Monaco | 80c | 397.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 312$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 298.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Monaco | 77c | 258.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a5…86dcbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Monaco | 76c | 211$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Monaco | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Monaco | 78c | 181.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Monaco | 78c | 175.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 158.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 158$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Monaco | 75c | 154$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 149.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Monaco | 77c | 129.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Monaco | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Monaco | 78c | 126.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Monaco | 74c | 122$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Monaco | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Monaco | 76c | 108.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Monaco | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…e5adbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Monaco | 77c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Monaco | 73c | 68.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…b5b0backed Monaco | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 54.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Monaco | 75c | 53.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Monaco | 69c | 43.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Monaco | 73c | 42.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Monaco | 77c | 41.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Monaco | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Monaco | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed Monaco | 75c | 35.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Monaco | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Monaco | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Monaco | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Monaco | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…d133backed Monaco | 75c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…1fc2backed Monaco | 75c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…2af1backed Monaco | 75c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…d740backed Monaco | 75c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Monaco | 75c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…9380backed Monaco | 77c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Monaco | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed Monaco | 75c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…ebccbacked Monaco | 77c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…63e9backed Monaco | 75c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…db2bbacked Monaco | 76c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed Monaco | 78c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Monaco | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed Monaco | 76c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…a0bfbacked Monaco | 76c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…ed30backed Monaco | 76c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.