NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x531e72c988d65ebed98a726d1a672d7f7accf67b4d37f4b7a3da13e157096b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 50c | 10,326$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.23 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 7,858$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 3,636$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.03 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 3,096$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.85 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…ba37backed Over | 51c | 2,306$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…87fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,788$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,074$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Over | 5c | 300.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 48c | 258$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 212.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 49c | 202.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…5ac2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…b9adbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 51c | 83.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…28e4backed Under | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…d42cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…bb8abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…49edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…2be4backed Over | 52c | 35.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…0decbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…9214backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4476backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafec…c200backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…0588backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. CavaliersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.