Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f460f14d94d1637feff21e203c23d5d86cea55714f29390590cc5a95e6ca96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46f…f728backed Over | 48c | 23,713$11,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,330.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…2463backed Under | 52c | 23,660$12,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,303.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…aaccbacked Under | 52c | 23,304$12,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,118.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…e815backed Over | 48c | 23,251$11,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,090.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,677$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Under | 54c | 842.9$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 51c | 436.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 47c | 318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 312$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 54c | 55.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 45c | 40.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Under | 61c | 34.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 160.5this page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern WildcatsOklahoma State Cowboys won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-2.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.