MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027299cfb5a812c75ee6c0a037e2a6d135b1df3a97a0f149e088c3b45f84df97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 33c | 69,395$22,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,422.21 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Mariners | 71c | 42,431$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Mariners | 55c | 28,076$15,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,441.84 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 65c | 27,251$17,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,760.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Astros | 44c | 23,456$10,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.36 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 48c | 15,842$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 56c | 10,252$5,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 56c | 10,187$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.66 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 42c | 10,031$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.2 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 54c | 9,354$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.18 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 44c | 7,700$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 47c | 5,216$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Astros | 63c | 4,650$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.61 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Astros | 44c | 4,608$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.23 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 44c | 3,087$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Mariners | 39c | 2,698$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Mariners | 56c | 2,563$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 53c | 1,951$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Astros | 62c | 1,925$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 44c | 1,658$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.1 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 43c | 1,063$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.85 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Astros | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Mariners | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Astros | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 51c | 991$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 36c | 838.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 43c | 808$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.56 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Astros | 51c | 754.9$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mariners | 55c | 711.62$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 59c | 700$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 66c | 690$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 45c | 594.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astros | 46c | 535.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mariners | 47c | 504.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 56c | 442.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Mariners | 53c | 428.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.17 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners | 53c | 425.52$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 67c | 382.48$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 42c | 347.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Mariners | 28c | 308.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 69c | 303.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Astros | 70c | 285.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Astros | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Mariners | 61c | 270$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Astros | 59c | 233.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 53c | 225.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Mariners | 65c | 225$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Mariners | 27c | 208.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 31c | 178$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Astros | 29c | 173.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Mariners | 45c | 136.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Astros | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mariners | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 37c | 107.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners | 78c | 102.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Astros | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 43c | 86.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 54c | 73.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 42c | 72.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…dd2dbacked Mariners | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04d…48f5backed Astros | 45c | 71.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Mariners | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astros | 57c | 63.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Astros | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Mariners | 56c | 59.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Astros | 45c | 58.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0b69backed Mariners | 56c | 53.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…a613backed Astros | 45c | 52.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…e4b2backed Mariners | 56c | 52.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Astros | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 56c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e57backed Astros | 45c | 47.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mariners | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…198bbacked Mariners | 56c | 46.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…9eebbacked Mariners | 56c | 46.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Astros | 45c | 46.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Astros | 65c | 42.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Mariners | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Mariners | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Astros | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Mariners | 50c | 34.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Astros | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Mariners | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Astros | 75c | 21.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.