Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33057f6707a2651aaa279c2928ce28f68262b1194943078ebf6f6662b9c0a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 6,140$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.83 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,502$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.15 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 3,401$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.25 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 1,035$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.21 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 546.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.62 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 16c | 307.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 62c | 275.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 203.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 19c | 198.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 186.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 18c | 175.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 18c | 167$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Under | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 67c | 75.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dd…9889backed Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 47.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.