Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d563734f7efe94d2664c3f952e0e59dc3b943e6ad1ad2dc8123c70c6123b6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 984.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 455.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 444.39$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 63c | 383$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 338.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 63c | 141.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 141$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 70.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Yes | 65c | 62.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 64c | 46.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 42.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 65c | 38.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…7f37backed Yes | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e420backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 74c | 19.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…0157backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.