TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anisimovaof Anisimova, Keys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6adb…a902backed Keys44c32,434$14,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,165.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Keys23c25,153$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.8622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Keys29c21,039$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Anisimova72c17,356$12,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.7727063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Keys33c10,600$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.442,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Anisimova45c10,000$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.5615048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anisimova61c9,933$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.9711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Anisimova74c8,629$6,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.321,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Anisimova68c6,807$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.78,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Anisimova77c5,400$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Keys23c5,400$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Keys24c4,950$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.8225722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Anisimova62c4,458$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.872,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf8…b8eabacked Anisimova78c4,100$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Keys1c3,698$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.03365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-69.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Anisimova71c3,062$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.621,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Keys28c2,419$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0322344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Anisimova57c2,368$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.282,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Anisimova76c2,177$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5364455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Keys27c2,072$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4413935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Keys68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Keys24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Keys12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Anisimova76c1,972$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Keys33c1,847$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.064628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Anisimova52c1,683$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.5718663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f92…35a7backed Anisimova70c1,501$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x965f…f167backed Keys30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Anisimova61c1,305$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.1875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Keys28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Keys30c1,175$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.39140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Anisimova75c1,039$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02dd…d213backed Anisimova65c1,019$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Keys29c999.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.987226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Keys14c930.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.813354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Anisimova56c875.22$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.21,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Keys22c871$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.272250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Anisimova45c833.5$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.4210060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Keys36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Keys25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Anisimova72c756.22$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.173557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Anisimova67c751.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6312253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Keys53c710.03$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Keys26c703.04$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4333352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Keys19c701.19$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.66839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Keys29c700$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8033…c774backed Keys7c696.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+171.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Keys32c662.61$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Anisimova35c651$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.261241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Anisimova77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3518957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Keys37c641$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1728350.9%144 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keys45c611.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.041,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Keys27c552.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7244125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Keys28c535.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9251142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Anisimova62c523.6$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa52…3560backed Keys9c514.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Keys78c480.43$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.742128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Anisimova66c473.34$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Anisimova78c448.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc4…48aebacked Keys62c448.05$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.11250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Keys58c423.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24418250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Anisimova73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Keys74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Anisimova42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23240141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Anisimova68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…4c62backed Keys28c379.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Keys46c360.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0410816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Anisimova73c360.27$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2726462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Keys28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Anisimova29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8351933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff6…e517backed Keys29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Anisimova28c333$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7615447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e2f…6aa9backed Anisimova72c324.42$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Keys30c319.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…59e7backed Keys72c307.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Anisimova68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb219…a9f2backed Keys32c298.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…b24ebacked Keys21c295.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.781450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Anisimova74c271.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87a…82f7backed Keys28c270$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Anisimova41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd189…32a6backed Keys74c245.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Keys37c243.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.632123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Anisimova60c226.51$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Keys30c222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.65831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Keys71c215$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.652152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…7607backed Keys74c208.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Keys23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a8…e268backed Anisimova47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Keys28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.844351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a9f…4cc8backed Keys28c175.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Anisimova76c172.91$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9188446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Anisimova29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4116446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Anisimova72c169.61$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.492245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Keys31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63718.9%7 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Anisimova78c153.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.755076%38 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Keys44c153.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.254630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Anisimova40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Anisimova74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Keys27c149.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.