Champions League · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2e3c28d6f391605c69a89c3f769386ced5d6de01163acd9ac3e578dc6b20be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked Yes | 36c | 900$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 33c | 800.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 559.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 31c | 519.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 65c | 424.28$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 35c | 332.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 32c | 223.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 67c | 157.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 69c | 153.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 66c | 75.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 64.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed No | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Yes | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…2f4ebacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 35.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…5aedbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-0.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.